Chinese economy deviates from type growth appears possibly speed of price be iss

Newest data shows national statistic bureau, specified number of loss of our country state-owned company amounted to 102.6 billion yuan 2005, grow 56.7% compared to the same period, amplitude rises compared to the same period 49.1 percent, amplitude of deficit specified number achieves nearly 16 years to come new tall. With the stock market expression walks along low circumstance likeness continuously, when the company profit that is microcosmic economy in report glides, chinese macroscopical economy lasts good: Chinese economy achieved potential increase rate 2005 9.9% . Whether does Chinese economy appear a kind " deviate from " the growth of type? Source of river of high count division is opposite national statistic bureau our newspaper reporter says, when specified number of state-owned company loss increases, profit also separates an industry to the ministry, for instance oil extracts the industry is centered. But company profit and deficit situation, the management concern with single company is very big, the connection with whole economy is still far. The stock market of same China also is spent with the expressional correlation of macroscopical economy not quite. The phenomenon that these traditional economics explain hard, pose various quandary. National hair changes appoint Huang Zhenji of macroscopical courtyard expert expresses, explain these phenomena hard now, because a few consequence just appeared,be clue, show not completely. Must maintain high vigilance to this, take strict precautions against economy big cases to fall greatly. The bemused China economy of growth appears at present all sorts of " deviate from " phenomenon, had in the past, it is intense nowadays. Before 2005 11 months, business of industry of countrywide dimensions above (all and state-owned company is mixed year of product sales revenue the blame of 5 million yuan of above is state-owned enterprise, similarly hereinafter) profit, than last year even more of the corresponding period grows 20.1% . Analysis of source of scene of Yao of division of total economy of national statistic bureau says, the profit margin surface of 20% looks very tall, but eliminate to increase the 5 large trades such as the oil exploitation with maximum profit, coal, current equipment newly, profit increase rate has 8% only. This explains the profit margin of whole industry is being reduced it seems that. Before this year 2 months, the concentration of this kind of profit margin is spent rise again. Industry of industry of countrywide dimensions above realizes profit to grow 21.8% compared to the same period. But coal industry profit head now falls 4.3% . The personage of national statistic bureau points out, amplitude of before this year 2 months increases the deficit specified number of state-owned company. In addition, as " national business barometer " the stock market, also with whole economy it is all the time " deviate from " move. Be in for instance 2004, when economic growth achieved 9%-10% of potential increase rate 2005, shanghai late stock market evaporates two years respectively 150 billion, 100 billion above. Aggregate index of Shanghai negotiable securities drops compared to the same period respectively 15% , 11% above. To this, limited company of galactic negotiable securities is high economist Song Guoxiang thinks, china appears on the market the circumstance of the company is, gain is best do not appear on the market in home certainly or do not appear on the market. Basic problem still depends on element of sex of system of stock market existence, need accelerates reform. Huang Zhenji thinks, chinese stock market is not actually " the barometer of national economy " , 10% what because the share is current,market prise has been less than GDP. The abidance of Chinese prices glides, also pose each square quandary. Lin Yi's husband ever pointed out economist, "Appear in abroad deflationary, it is economy commonly exceedingly fatigued and weak, 0 growth perhaps enjoy growth, issue ability to be able to transform in puissant support of the government only, the clearest case is Japanese slump. " " but China came to 2002 1998 (shrink period) say, chinese economy growth is the whole world is the fastest. " Lin Yi's husband also is certain, economic amplitude of China is very tall still this year, but prices may be close to Yu Ling, shrink the case may appear. But economic high speed grows, prices is entered shrink the brim, this and actual theory are violated. More interesting is, at present the speed of price be issued to lower levels still is being accelerated, economic increase rate grows high still however. Nevertheless, the Central Bank also realises the seriousness of the problem it seems that. In Feburary the last ten-day of a month, the monetary policy report that Chinese people bank issues says, prices goes situation existence " not certain factor " , go up to exist with the pressure of be issued to lower levels. Predict the economic increase rate 2006 8% , consumptive prices rises 3% the left and right sides. Huang Zhenji points out, what at present prices glides is sequential, behave its moment to had not arrived, company loss arrived truly certain level, be sure to bring about whole consumption prices to glide, economy goes low considerably, western industrialization phase ever had similar show. Why dissatisfactory nevertheless, chinese economy is when high speed growth, another deviates from is, the dweller's general satisfaction is spent in drop, the relevant and happy feeling that this appears to mirror a dweller did not see rise, to economy be benefited not much. According to what courtyard of Chinese company division announced January " Chinese dweller laid vivid quality findings report 2005 " , the satisfaction in Chinese dweller spends scale to all show downtrend of year after year, overall life satisfaction spends more and more dwellers for " general " . But income of economic increase rate of China, central finance appears to increase a current considerably. Outside growing except economic high speed 2005 for instance, finance income of this years grows 19.8% , increase five hundred and twenty-three billion one hundred and fifty-one million yuan, achieve three thousand one hundred and sixty-two billion seven hundred and ninety-eight million yuan (do not contain debt income) . Meanwhile, another income of central state income, namely profit of central state-owend enterprise rises madly. The enterprise realizes gain in the center of 2005 627.6 billion yuan, grow about 28% . Nevertheless, the growth of income of Chinese urban and rural dweller is added under economy fast, the income of finance income and profit of center look forward to grows. Chinese economy grows deviate from far more than above a few kinds. The sources of energy uses up deviate from more make a scholar incomprehensible. The economic growth of 2005 annual is achieved 9.9% , but crude oil of this years of China and gross of consumption of finished product oily annual decreased 0.5% . Oil is Chinese industry " blood " , its wastage is reduced, but industrial amplitude is not decreased, entire industry raises a cost compared to the same period amplitude is achieved 11.4% , the GDP gross that occupies 40% above as industry also rises 9.9% . Jiang Yuan points out, the sources of energy that possible reason is China is used up with coal, is not oil give priority to. Nevertheless, this still poses each quandary, crude oil and finished product oily consumption grew 15.3% 2004, year end private car retained 2005 measure 23.65 million, grow 22.0% . So what motivation does the car of these new start off rely on?
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